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Auto Durability Page 1 Auto Durability Page 2 Auto Durability Page 3 Auto Durability Page 4 Page 5 - Top 20 High Mileage Page 6 - The 2006 Study of Model Year 1998
Page 7 - The 2006 Toyota Age Equivalents for Model Year 1998 Page 8 - The 2006 Honda Age Equivalents for Model Year 1998 Page 9 - The 2007 Dilapidation Rates for Model Years 1998 - 2002 Page 10 - The 2007 Study of Model Year 1999 Page 11 - The 2007 Toyota Age Equivalents for Model Year 1999 Page 12 - The 2007 Honda Age Equivalents for Model Year 1999
Page 13 - 2007 Pickup Durability Updates for Model Years 1998, 1999, 2000 and 2001          

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Auto on Info  September 2007

Auto Line and Manufacturer Durability for Model Year 1999

The 2007 Reliability-Durability Updates: Toyota and Honda Account for 4 of the 5 Most Durable Vehicle Lines; General Motors - 5 of 10 Worst: Will a Typical 1999 Toyota or Honda Model Be More Trouble Free at about 20 Years of Age Than a Typical 1999 GM Model at 3?

The following table and charts summarize the durability of the 1999 motor vehicle models by Toyota Motor Corporation and Honda Motor Company, as measured by the Reliability Score. Our first table provides five sets of Reliability Score averages for the auto manufacturers and motor vehicle lines for which data are available, together with the change in the averages from the first set to the last set. The first set is for when the 1999 vehicles were between the ages of 2 and 4 years and the last set is for when the 1999 vehicles were between the ages of 6 and 8 years.

Note that the Reliability Score averages for Toyota's and Honda's lines at the age range 6-to-8 years substantially exceeds the averages for the lines of the Big Three - General Motors Corporation, Ford Motor Company, and the Chrysler Group of DaimlerChrysler AG - at the age range of 2-to-4 years.

The following chart depicts the above changes in Reliability Score averages for each of the auto manufacturers.

Suzuki Motor Corporation has only one or two models providing data each year and sales of any one model are relatively small; consequently, the change in its Reliability Score average may be less accurate and is more subject to change. Subaru's placement in the above chart is low by historical standards. The plunge in this year's Reliability Score averages from the 2-to-4-year range to the 6-to-8-year range for General Motors Corporation and the Chrysler Group are nearly identical to those of the previous year. Note that Volvo continues to be an albatross hung about Ford's neck.

The next chart depicts the changes in Reliability Score averages for each of the motor vehicle lines.

The next chart depicts the Reliability Score averages for each of the motor vehicle lines for the age range 6-to-8 years.

Here we see that Toyota's and Honda's lines occupy 4 of the top 5 positions and GM lines occupy 5 of the bottom 10 positions. Note that in 1999 GM's Saturn line had not yet sunk to the depths of GM's other lines; however, by 2000 Saturn's Reliability Percentrank average was about on par with that of GM's Chevrolet line and by 2002 - even less than that of its Chevrolet line.

One of the interesting questions is: When will a typical 1999 Toyota model be as troublesome as a typical 1999 General Motors model at ages 2-to-4 years? The following chart helps shed some light on this query.

This chart suggests that a typical 1999 Toyota model may, at about 18 years old, be more reliable than a typical 1999 General Motors model at about 3 years old, although a used-car buyer should be very hesitant in relying entirely on the accuracy of such a long-term extrapolation and should always be cognizant of the possibility that one or more previous owners or users may have abused a vehicle in one or more significant ways. For additional durability information, see the durability pages. Also, for some advisories, see Cautionary Remarks.

The next chart helps shed light on the query: When will a typical 1999 Honda model be as troublesome as a typical 1999 General Motors model at ages 2-to-4 years?

This chart suggests that a typical 1999 Honda model may, at about 26 years old, be more reliable than a typical 1999 General Motors model at about 3 years old, subject to the same caveats noted above.

Some interesting remaining queries are: How have the extrapolations of the two preceding charts changed, if at all, in more recent years? As the data accumulate, will an extrapolation of the extrapolation intersections give us a good indication as to whether a typical 2010 Toyota or Honda model at age 20 years may be more reliable than a typical GM model at age 3 years?

With regard to the latter query, it would be very useful if Consumer Reports were to extend its questionnaire and reliability table coverage to at least 12 years from its current 10 years.

Sources: Auto on Info data banks

 

Related Articles
September 2007: Toyota and Honda Account for All of Consumer Reports' 2007 Long-Run Good Bets
August 2007: The 2007 Reliability-Durability Updates: For Vehicles 2-to-3 Years Old, Toyota and Honda Account for 14 of 16 Best, GM - 18 of 57 Worst
August 2007: The 2007 Reliability-Durability Updates: For Vehicles 2-to-4 Years Old, Toyota and Honda Account for 14 of 19 Best, GM - 22 of 62 Worst
August 2007: The 2007 Reliability-Durability Updates: For Vehicles 3-to-5 Years Old, Toyota and Honda Account for 18 of 19 Best, GM - 24 of 61 Worst
July 2007: The 2007 Reliability-Durability Updates: For Vehicles 4-to-6 Years Old, Toyota and Honda Account for 17 of 17 Best, GM - 24 of 56 Worst: Will a Typical Toyota at 13 Years of Age Be as Troublesome as a Typical GM at 3 Years of Age?
July 2007: The 2007 Reliability-Durability Updates: For Vehicles 5-to-7 Years Old, Toyota and Honda Account for 12 of 13 Best, GM - 19 of 48 Worst: Will a Typical Toyota at 21 Years of Age Be as Troublesome as a Typical GM at 3 Years of Age?
July 2007: The 2007 Reliability-Durability Updates: For Vehicles 6-to-8 Years Old, Toyota and Honda Account for 13 of 13 Best, GM - 18 of 43 Worst: Will a Typical Toyota at 19 Years of Age Be as Troublesome as a Typical GM at 3 Years of Age?
July 2007: The 2007 Reliability-Durability Updates: For Vehicles 7-to-9 Years Old, Toyota and Honda Account for 11 of 12 Best, GM - 22 of 41 Worst: Will a Typical Toyota at 30 Years of Age Be as Troublesome as a Typical GM at 3 Years of Age?
October 2006: The 2006 Updates: Toyota and Honda Account for 4 Most Durable Vehicle Lines; General Motors - 4 of 10 Worst: Will a Typical Toyota or Honda 1998 Model Be More Trouble Free at 20 Years of Age Than a Typical 1998 GM Model at 3?
September 2006: Reliability Updates: Toyota and Honda Still Tops, But Lose Luster; General Motors Still Worst of Major Auto Manufacturers; Hyundai Clobbers GM Yet Again
September 2006: Reliability Updates: Best and Worst Cars and Trucks Tables: A Chart Summary
August 2006: Reliability Updates: For Vehicles 6-to-8 Years Old, Toyota Accounts for 7 of 10 Best, GM - 17 of 36 Worst
August 2006: Reliability Updates: For Vehicles 5-to-7 Years Old, Toyota Accounts for 9 of 13 Best, GM - 17 of 42 Worst
August 2006: Reliability Updates: For Vehicles 4-to-6 Years Old, Toyota Accounts for 8 of 14 Best, GM - 19 of 47 Worst
August 2006: Reliability Updates: For Vehicles 3-to-5 Years Old, Toyota Accounts for 13 of 15 Best, GM - 17 of 47 Worst
August 2006: Reliability Updates: For Model Year 2002, Toyota Accounts for 11 of 16 Best, GM - 16 of 53 Worst

Related Web Pages
Durability Page 6 - The 2006 Study of Model Year 1998
Milestones in Automotive Quality
The Bottom Line on Auto Reliability
Summary of the Best and Worst
Table and Chart Summary of the 2007 Reliability-Durability Updates

Related Mini-Surveys
A Toyota Owner Survey with Enquiries into Reliability Importance
A Honda Owner Survey with Enquiries into Reliability Importance
A Toyota Owner Satisfaction Poll with Enquiries into Toyota Durability
A Lexus Owner Satisfaction Poll with Enquiries into Lexus Durability
An Infiniti Owner Satisfaction Poll with Enquiries into Infiniti Durability
The True Value of a Big Three
Big Three Bin Readiness
General Motors Travails and Prospects
Is the Ownership of a General Motors Vehicle a Useful Index of 21st-Century Cognitive Uselessness?

 

The following poll permits the reader to express his assessment on General Motors Corporation.

 

 

Poll on GM

How big an embarrassment do you think General Motors Corporation is?

U.S.'s biggest
Top 5, but not number 1
Top 10, but not within top 5
Top 25, but not within top 10
Not within top 25

 

To view responses to the above poll, click here.

 

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1Current data are insufficient to warrant charts.

To view tables of the Best and Worst motor vehicle models, click the applicable year.
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Automobile Durability Tables and Charts
Page 1 - Original Durability Page Page 2 - Results of 2001 Survey Page 3 - CCC's 15 Most Frequently Stolen Page 4 - 2001 Summary of Rosters Page 5 - Top 20 High Mileage Page 6 - The 2006 Study of Model Year 1998 Page 7 - The 2006 Toyota Age Equivalents for Model Year 1998 Page 8 - The 2006 Honda Age Equivalents for Model Year 1998 Page 9 - The 2007 Dilapidation Rates for Model Years 1998 - 2002